Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.870594 4.146030 4.439946 4.778386 5.159187 5.576596 6.071746
2025-06-29 3.352261 3.722984 4.142390 4.657480 5.280827 6.021320 6.984138
2025-07-06 3.042857 3.459113 3.948477 4.576535 5.377081 6.387023 7.799149
2025-07-13 2.841311 3.288951 3.831343 4.552667 5.512782 6.788823 8.694779
2025-07-20 2.726824 3.208243 3.807826 4.632100 5.775776 7.376501 9.937220
2025-07-27 2.639490 3.150618 3.803071 4.727672 6.061621 8.024970 11.393062
2025-08-03 2.531756 3.056658 3.739968 4.732467 6.211607 8.484588 12.635724
2025-08-10 2.410059 2.935356 3.629655 4.657863 6.230623 8.734746 13.559404
2025-08-17 2.287275 2.805076 3.497742 4.539568 6.167201 8.836097 14.219580
2025-08-24 2.194321 2.709934 3.408165 4.475258 6.179550 9.063075 15.180080
2025-08-31 2.143362 2.669175 3.391764 4.517725 6.365725 9.618695 16.991522
2025-09-07 2.089877 2.621768 3.362295 4.536477 6.512151 10.121091 18.846500
2025-09-14 1.985063 2.500297 3.222777 4.379441 6.352962 10.035046 19.283482
2025-09-21 1.904339 2.410263 3.125851 4.285019 6.297051 10.151588 20.320011
2025-09-28 1.836475 2.335571 3.047612 4.214725 6.276172 10.334784 21.617501
2025-10-05 1.786490 2.284434 3.001840 4.193803 6.342267 10.711491 23.667245
2025-10-12 1.762821 2.270269 3.010838 4.263584 6.584033 11.518548 27.586502
2025-10-19 1.743862 2.261923 3.027845 4.347425 6.861841 12.470309 32.791183
2025-10-26 1.707587 2.226234 3.000227 4.351628 6.981213 13.063464 37.091849
2025-11-02 1.657924 2.168668 2.935515 4.286197 6.951128 13.268179 39.801655
2025-11-09 1.602537 2.100769 2.851812 4.182291 6.831635 13.216054 41.199115
2025-11-16 1.560233 2.051461 2.796051 4.125722 6.807896 13.424632 44.301285
2025-11-23 1.539941 2.034956 2.792267 4.163084 6.989912 14.253910 52.305661